Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013109 0.016096 0.019925 0.025332 0.033018 0.043970 0.061632
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009168 0.012228 0.016671 0.023993 0.036682 0.060041 0.113981
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007427 0.010436 0.015178 0.023883 0.041441 0.081769 0.217224
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006466 0.009470 0.014529 0.024714 0.048346 0.116545 0.486953
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005683 0.008581 0.013712 0.024821 0.053807 0.157397 1.171072
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004947 0.007621 0.012514 0.023652 0.055280 0.189233 2.658821
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004437 0.006965 0.011742 0.023159 0.058510 0.239541 9.849677
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004184 0.006729 0.011736 0.024504 0.069123 0.377332 9126.000905
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004033 0.006652 0.012037 0.026792 0.086305 0.714567 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003891 0.006568 0.012299 0.029126 0.107824 1.556724 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003638 0.006225 0.011899 0.029282 0.118822 2.742675 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003421 0.005928 0.011552 0.029497 0.131353 5.562003 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003069 0.005344 0.010493 0.027183 0.125691 7.196557 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002792 0.004895 0.009711 0.025669 0.125288 12.029135 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002611 0.004627 0.009340 0.025547 0.137132 49.736878 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002491 0.004478 0.009243 0.026460 0.162491 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002356 0.004278 0.008975 0.026578 0.181587 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002189 0.003991 0.008426 0.025293 0.180603 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002063 0.003784 0.008071 0.024752 0.189959 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002008 0.003734 0.008145 0.026229 0.239792 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001981 0.003744 0.008394 0.028748 0.335776 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001950 0.003743 0.008612 0.031327 0.479892 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001870 0.003614 0.008417 0.031499 0.555543 NaN NaN